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 The MC Project, Ichiro |
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 Jan 31 2010, 12:44 AM
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Group: Root Admin
Posts: 5,811
Joined: 2-February 08
From: Colorado Springs, Colorado
Member No.: 4
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Hey kiddies,
I've been cogitating on this for a while now and I think that this is a good time to trot it out. This will be the first of 25 threads in which we all get to chime in and make predictions as how we think that the player of the thread will perform in 2010. You can use gut feeling, SABR, rumor and propaganda, or a mutant combination of whatever you wish.
What won't happen is any discourse among you all about how wrong someone is in their prediction. This isn't a contest, it's just for fun.
As the sub header says, this first thread is dedicated to Ichiro. I'll kick it off.
Ichiro, to me, seems to be the model of consistancy. His production has had only minor upward or downward spikes. His defense is predicated on control and not exceeding his abilities (in order to maintain health). So, for 2010 I see Ichiro having this kind of year:
- .325/.375/.420
- 30 SB
- 12 HR
- Gold Glove
- Ichiro may suffer a minor injury in a tickle incident.
Lonnie
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2009 Adoptees:
Silas Ess!
Alex Liddi - AA West Tenn
Andrew Carraway - A+ Hell
Derrick Saito - MIA
This space for rent
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Jan 31 2010, 06:57 AM
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Group: Members
Posts: 1,754
Joined: 3-February 08
From: Tukwila, WA
Member No.: 9
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The one thing I would like to see Ichiro do is score over 100 runs. Last year was his first for not scoring 100 runs in his career. We won't have to worry about this record: QUOTE Consecutive seasons with 100 or more runs scored
13 (3 tied)
Lou Gehrig, New York Yankees - 1926 through 1938
Hank Aaron, Milwaukee and Atlanta Braves - 1955 through 1967
Alex Rodriguez, Seattle Mariners, Texas Rangers, and New York Yankees - 1996 through 2008. Wikipedia
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Jan 31 2010, 07:43 AM
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Group: Members
Posts: 1,610
Joined: 15-February 08
From: Raleigh, NC
Member No.: 177
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Lonnie is pretty close to my ballpark guesstimate:
.330/.370/.420 -- 37-SB; 9-HR -- 108 runs
GG and All-Star selection are practically automatic.
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The purpose of government is to set the minimum standard of behavior for a society, backed up with the power and authority to police and punish those who fail to meet those minimum standards. The purpose of Religion is to encourage people to exceed those standards voluntarily.
Adopt-a-player(s):
Kenn Kasparek - 2010 - 7-2; 3.13; 15-GS; 103.2-IP; 97-H; 11-HR; 21-BB; 55-K; 1.138-WHIP; 4.8 K/9; 2.62-K/BB (High Desert - A+)
Kasparek - mnrs - 22-12; 2.94; 54-GS; 297.1-IP; 271-H; 21-HR; 76-BB; 254-K; 1.17-WHIP - 7.7-K/9; 3.34-K/BB
Blake Nation - 2010 - 3-4-0; 5.18; 35-G; 0-GS; 57.1-IP; 73-H; 4-HR; 15-BB; 39-K; 1.535-WHIP; 2.60- K/BB (High Desert - A+)
Nation - minors - 7-11-11; 3.81; 94-G; 4-GS; 163.0-IP; 173-H; 11-HR; 46-BB; 117-K; 1.34-WHIP 6.5-K/9; 2.54-K/BB
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Jan 31 2010, 08:48 AM
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Group: Members
Posts: 176
Joined: 25-February 08
Member No.: 202
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Lonnie, for Ichiro only, shouldn't number of hits be included?
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Jan 31 2010, 10:29 AM
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Group: Members
Posts: 1,754
Joined: 3-February 08
From: Tukwila, WA
Member No.: 9
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QUOTE (Shaggy @ Jan 31 2010, 08:48 AM)  Lonnie, for Ichiro only, shouldn't number of hits be included?  Now there's a contest.
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Jan 31 2010, 01:28 PM
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Group: Root Admin
Posts: 5,811
Joined: 2-February 08
From: Colorado Springs, Colorado
Member No.: 4
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QUOTE (Shaggy @ Jan 31 2010, 09:48 AM) Lonnie, for Ichiro only, shouldn't number of hits be included? Like I said, this isn't a contest. Folks can prognosticate on ANYTHING! Of course, we may look back at this in NOVEMBER with a little shodenfrued... Lonnie
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2009 Adoptees:
Silas Ess!
Alex Liddi - AA West Tenn
Andrew Carraway - A+ Hell
Derrick Saito - MIA
This space for rent
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Jan 31 2010, 03:30 PM
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Group: Members
Posts: 499
Joined: 15-November 08
From: Sumner
Member No.: 295
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QUOTE (Lonnie @ Jan 31 2010, 02:28 PM) Like I said, this isn't a contest. Folks can prognosticate on ANYTHING!
Lonnie Ichiro has a rough season. He is hurt late in spring training and deals with a hamstring all season. Eric Byrnes makes the team and plays right field for two months and becomes the comeback player of the year in the American League. Byrnes is then moved to left field when Bradley is hurt and plays well. Ichiro finishes the season .270/.340/.402, 4 homeruns and 147 hits.
This post has been edited by IWantZduriencik'sJob: Jan 31 2010, 03:31 PM
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Yogi--
1. I'm not going to buy my kids an encyclopedia. Let them walk to school like I did.
2. It ain't the heat, it's the humility.
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Jan 31 2010, 04:01 PM
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Group: Members
Posts: 176
Joined: 25-February 08
Member No.: 202
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QUOTE (IWantZduriencik'sJob @ Jan 31 2010, 03:30 PM) Ichiro has a rough season. He is hurt late in spring training and deals with a hamstring all season. Eric Byrnes makes the team and plays right field for two months and becomes the comeback player of the year in the American League. Byrnes is then moved to left field when Bradley is hurt and plays well.
Ichiro finishes the season .270/.340/.402, 4 homeruns and 147 hits. Sounds about right but I'll add that he ends up standing on first base 20 more times than usual rather than stealing. How's that for a schadenfreude?
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Jan 31 2010, 04:22 PM
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Group: Line Drive Boosters
Posts: 706
Joined: 12-February 08
From: Spokane
Member No.: 160
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Ichiro came up with a little power last year. I'll shave off a few of the doubles and stack on a few more triples. Just a tad more slugging.
330/370/470
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Jan 31 2010, 08:19 PM
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Group: Members
Posts: 1,010
Joined: 4-February 08
Member No.: 41
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I've got Ichiro doing the same as last year -- .340-.350 with 30 doubles and 10 homers, a 127 OPS+, and a franchise-leadoff hitter season, these being the reasons why. I think Dr. Naka predicts even more, based in part on the fact that Ichiro's 2009 season was clipped by an early-season ulcer...
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Jan 31 2010, 08:22 PM
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Group: Members
Posts: 289
Joined: 16-February 09
Member No.: 333
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Mostly the same as 2009, except he'll score 120 runs with Figgins and Parker Brothers hitting behind him.
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Feb 1 2010, 09:33 AM
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Group: Members
Posts: 2,074
Joined: 5-February 08
From: Elk, WA
Member No.: 57
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*edited for formatting* Oooh - I like this too, boss! Let's see. Ichiro, huh? I predict: CODE BA: .325-.340
OBP: .365-.385
SLG: .410-.435
OPS: .780-.820
H: 220-245
2B: 22-27
3B: 4-6
HR: 8-11
SB: 29-34
CS: 6-8 --- So, let's see. As not to be saddled with a 'cop-out' label for putting up my best guesses, I'll pick specific numbers as well. .332/.374/.422/.796 232 hits, 11 HR, 33 SB against 6 CS All-Star starter, Gold Glove, but probably not a Silver Slugger
This post has been edited by KingCorran: Feb 1 2010, 09:34 AM
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Ichiro Suzuki: 9 straight 200+ hit seasons, 9 straight All-Star selections (8 as a starter), 2 batting titles & 2 runner-up seasons, 9 straight Gold Gloves, 3 Silver Sluggers, the 2001 MVP, the 2007 ASG MVP, the 2001 RoY, and owner of the single-season hit record.
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Feb 1 2010, 09:41 AM
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Group: Root Admin
Posts: 5,811
Joined: 2-February 08
From: Colorado Springs, Colorado
Member No.: 4
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QUOTE (KingCorran @ Feb 1 2010, 10:33 AM) *edited for formatting* Oooh - I like this too, boss! Let's see. Ichiro, huh? I predict: CODE BA: .325-.340
OBP: .365-.385
SLG: .410-.435
OPS: .780-.820
H: 220-245
2B: 22-27
3B: 4-6
HR: 8-11
SB: 29-34
CS: 6-8 --- So, let's see. As not to be saddled with a 'cop-out' label for putting up my best guesses, I'll pick specific numbers as well. .332/.374/.422/.796 232 hits, 11 HR, 33 SB against 6 CS All-Star starter, Gold Glove, but probably not a Silver Slugger Niiiiiice! Lonnie
--------------------
2009 Adoptees:
Silas Ess!
Alex Liddi - AA West Tenn
Andrew Carraway - A+ Hell
Derrick Saito - MIA
This space for rent
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Feb 1 2010, 03:32 PM
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Group: Members
Posts: 2,099
Joined: 4-February 08
From: Bellingham, Wa
Member No.: 54
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.320
.360 obp
220 hits
25 doubles
5 tripples
8 HR
59 rbi
31 sb
5 cs
40+ times in crucial situations he refuses to steal
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RIP Ichidman51............say hello to wildman and Ray_Oyler_fan...you will be missed my friend
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Feb 1 2010, 03:45 PM
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Group: Members
Posts: 9,433
Joined: 8-February 08
Member No.: 114
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I am on record as saying that mathematically, all you can do with Ichiro, until he shows some kind of noticeable trend, is project persistence. .335/.385/.435 with 30 steals, 8-10 HR, 23-26 2B, 5-8 3B
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MILTON BRADLEY'S BIGGEST FAN
You've taken a brave step forward into the rest of your life, Mr. Bradley: I wish you a full recovery and a wonderful year with your family in the Mariner organization. May God bless you and give you peace.
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Feb 2 2010, 11:18 AM
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Group: Members
Posts: 851
Joined: 6-February 08
From: Corvallis, OR
Member No.: 79
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as counter intuitive as it is (coming off a very good year, and being a year older), I am going to go super optimist on this and predict a career year for Ichiro. Bolsterd by Griffey Tickles, better hitters behind him, and the first legitimate push for a World Series since his first year in the MLB Ichiro goes for: 271 hits (yup breaks his own record) plays in 160 games (2 regular days off) scores 123 runs AVG - .392 (making a serious run a .400, but coming up just short) OBP - .431 (about the same number of walks as usual around 45 - 50) SLG - .475 (mostly driven by the high avg, will have about 10 HR's) 35 steals (although Ichiro with Figgens and Bradley behind him will not feel as inclined to steal since both those guys have a good chance of getting Ichiro to second by themselves he wont feel like he has to do it.) With the M's getting into the playoffs and contending for a World Series, and Ichiro's push for .400 and breaking his own hits record, he also wins the MVP award along withthe automatic GG, All-Star and Silver Slugger awards 
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Adopt-A-Playaz:Andy Baldwin ( MILB)( BRef)( BCube) -- Pitcher, playing in AAA for the Tacoma Rainers (Seattle Org) Current 2010 line -- 1 wins, 0 losses, 4.38 ERA, 12.1 IP, 1.49 HR/9, 0 BB/9, 5.2 K/9, inf K/BB Jonah Nickerson ( MILB)( BRef)( BCube) -- Pitcher, Retired :( Mitch Canham ( MILB)( BRef)( BCube) -- Catcher, playing in AA for the San Antonio Missions (SD Org) Current 2010 line -- 26 AB, 0 2b, 1 3b, 1 HR, 7 RBI, .192 / .250 / .385 / .635
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Feb 2 2010, 11:27 AM
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Group: Members
Posts: 2,074
Joined: 5-February 08
From: Elk, WA
Member No.: 57
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Feb 2 2010, 09:40 PM
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Group: Members
Posts: 986
Joined: 16-November 08
Member No.: 296
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Ichiro
Ave - .315
OB% - .368
Only makes it through a half a season (first half).
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Feb 4 2010, 03:47 PM
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Group: Members
Posts: 5,217
Joined: 4-February 08
From: Queretaro, Mexico
Member No.: 42
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My projection for Ichiro:
.385 / .425 / .414 / .839
257 hits
11 HR
45 Stolen Bases
1 CS
Gold Glove
Silver Slugger
All Star
World Series MVP!
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Mariners 2010: the heartbreak team: how do you want to lose today? --9 WOL™ Walk-Off Loses: 6/11, 5/30, 5/29, 5/18, 5/15, 4/24, 4/23, 4/7 and 4/6 + 5 WWOW™ Wasted Walk-Off Wins: 7/22, 6/24, 6/6, 5/8 and 4/30 + 5 BBS™ Bullpen Blown Saves: 7/8, 7/5, 5/13, 5/2 and 4/25 + 5 OS™ Offense Shutdowns: 7/23, 5/22, 5/19, 5/16 and 4/18= 24 WWG™ Wasted Winnable Gamesdue to popular demand, the Mariner MVP is back (last update includes the game of: July 18th): Batting WPAPitching WPAERACI
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